Caruser.net – Elon Musk is the CEO of Tesla, the electric cars maker from the United States. For the automotive, Musk is just like Steve Jobs in the computer world. So that his name is increasingly skyrocket, as if like Tony Stark in the Iron-Man movie. Yup .. even Elon Musk ever appeared in the Iron-Man II movie.
Musk is trusted and exalted as a visionary man in automotive technology, he is the man of American dreams. He is handsome, genius, extraordinary success at a young age, rich and brilliant, and not to forget he has an American character in Hollywood movies, which is eccentric with his scientific statements.
The Chief Executive of Tesla recently spoke in a forum attended by 13 Governors on Saturday, July 15, 2017, in Rhode Island, USA, where all of the states have automotive plants in its territory.
At the meeting, Elon Musk delivered some of his predictions to the automotive world in the future. Two things underlined by Musk were about the future of the automotive world and the threat of artificial intelligence for human civilization. Here are some Musk statements in the forum.
By 2037, Electric and Autonomous Cars are the Majority
Elon Musk predicted the next 20 Years, electric cars will be the majority and most of these cars are already using autonomous technology (self-driving cars).
“But if you were to say, go out twenty years, overwhelmingly, things are electric or autonomous, overwhelmingly.” Said Elon Musk.
But according to him, the transformation will not happen in near time. It takes 10 to 15 years to achieve that change.
“In ten years half of all production will be EV. I think almost all cars produced will be autonomous in ten years, almost all. It will be rare to find one that is not, in ten years. That’s going to be a huge transformation.”
“The thing to bear in mind though is that new vehicle production is only about only 5 percent of the vehicle fleet. How long does a car or truck last? They last 15-20 years before they are finally scrapped. So, new vehicle production is at most 1/15th of the fleets. Even when new vehicle production switches over to electric or autonomous, that still means the vast majority of the fleet on the roads is not. It will take another five to ten years before that becomes the majority, EV or autonomous,” said Musk as released by inverse.com.
The cars of this age will be like a horses
The Tesla CEO believes that driving a car with a combustion engine in 2037 is like a man riding a horse today. Riding a horse is a cool hobby of the rich, but it’s not a normal choice to be a daily means of transportation.
“Fully autonomous. There will not be a steering wheel. Twenty years? It will be like having a horse. People have horses, which is cool. There will be people who have non-autonomous cars, like people have horses. It would just be unusual to use that as a mode of transport.” Said the CEO.
Elon Musk is not a fortune-teller, he is a logical person and a visionary engineer. It is not impossible all the technology is already in the blueprint of his company. It could be his company’s vision to change transportation technology in the future. who knows?
How about Developing Countries?
As we know, the existence of electric cars has been massive in America and some countries in Europe. The governments and its people already have a high awareness about the importance of maintaining environmental sustainability from fuel engine pollution. So naturally, this is a bright future for electric car makers like Tesla. They certainly have a business interest in campaigning for EVs, but that is also good for our world which is getting wrapped up in air pollution.
In our opinion, Elon Musk’s business is a glorious future business, it will be a good history for world civilization. He is a revolutionary man, doing business and at once improving the world with his green industry.
In 20 years? For the U.S. it is quite possible. What about developing countries like Indonesia? We think it will take longer for a country with infrastructure like Indonesia to totally replace its transportation modes.
Of course it is still difficult for us to imagine a large electric-powered trailers or trucks to devour the bumpy roads and get damaged within 2-3 months after being repaired. While electric technology for even passenger cars, cost billions of money. Even changing the passenger car to electricity also seems to take time and require a change on the mindset of the next generation.